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Source Publication: Hydrological Processes, 28, 3, 1170‐1189, doi: 10.1002/hyp.9661
Publication Date: Jan 2014
Hydrologic modelling has been applied to assess the impacts of projected climate change within three study areas in the Peace, Campbell and Columbia River watersheds of British Columbia, Canada. These study areas include interior nival (two sites) and coastal hybrid nival–pluvial (one site) hydro-climatic regimes. Projections were based on a suite of eight global climate models driven by three emission scenarios to project potential climate responses for the 2050s period (2041–2070). Climate projections were statistically downscaled and used to drive a macro-scale hydrology model at high spatial resolution. This methodology covers a large range of potential future climates for British Columbia and explicitly addresses both emissions and global climate model uncertainty in the final hydrologic projections. Snow water equivalent is projected to decline throughout the Peace and Campbell and at low elevations within the Columbia. At high elevations within the Columbia, snow water equivalent is projected to increase with increased winter precipitation. Streamflow projections indicate timing shifts in all three watersheds, predominantly because of changes in the dynamics of snow accumulation and melt. The coastal hybrid site shows the largest sensitivity, shifting to more rainfall-dominated system by mid-century. The two interior sites are projected to retain the characteristics of a nival regime by mid-century, although streamflow-timing shifts result from increased mid-winter rainfall and snowmelt, and earlier freshet onset.
- Publication Date: Nov 2013
- Source Publication: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Association, 94, 1307–1309. Publication Date: Oct 2013
- Source Publication: Hydrological Processes. doi: 10.1002/hyp.9997 Publication Date: Sep 2013
- Source Publication: Biogeosciences Discuss., 2013, 10, 13603-13638. Publication Date: Aug 2013
- Publication Date: Aug 2013
- Source Publication: Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00551.1, in press. Publication Date: Jul 2013
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Publication Date: Mar 2013
This report documents the production of statistically downscaled future climate projections by the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) for Environment Canada under contract number KM170-12-1236. Section 2 describes the selection of a subset of GCM scenarios for the CMIP5 ensemble based on an objective set of selection criteria. The criteria included hemispheric skill assessment based on the CLIMDEX indices (Sillmann et al. 2013) historical criteria used previously at PCIC (Werner 2011), and refinement based on a modified clustering algorithm (Houle et al. 2012; Katsavounidis et al. 1994). In section 3, results are summarized from an intercomparison of three downscaling techniques based on methods used in a previous intercomparison conducted by PCIC (Bürger et al. 2012a).
- Source Publication: Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0705-8 Publication Date: Feb 2013
- Source Publication: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi: 10.1002/jgrd_50203 Publication Date: Feb 2013
- Source Publication: Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00502.1 Publication Date: Feb 2013
- Source Publication: Environmental Science and Policy, Volume 26, February 2013, Pages 75–89, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.07.026. Publication Date: Feb 2013
- Source Publication: Environmental Science and Policy, Volume 26, February 2013, Pages 63–74, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.07.024. Publication Date: Feb 2013
- Source Publication: Hydrological Processes, doi: 10.1002/hyp.9661 Publication Date: Dec 2012
- Source Publication: Climatic Change, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0551-0 Publication Date: Aug 2012
- Source Publication: Environmental Science & Policy, Volume 17, 11pp., 2012, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2011.12.011 Publication Date: Mar 2012
- Source Publication: Journal of Climate (early online release) doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00408.1 Publication Date: Jan 2012
- Source Publication: Hydrological Processes Journal (early online release) doi:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.9283/pdf Publication Date: Jan 2012
- Publication Date: Dec 2011
- Publication Date: Nov 2011